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Posted: August 26th, 2008, 12:21pm CEST by -cosmos-
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This book is intended for analysts who wish to construct stochastic financial models, and anyone else interested in learning how to use Crystal Ball. Instructors with a practical bent may also find it useful as a supplement for courses in finance, management science, or industrial engineering.
The first six chapters of this book cover the features of Crystal Ball and OptQuest. Several examples are used to illustrate how these programs can be used to enhance deterministic Excel models for stochastic financial analysis and planning. The remaining seven chapters provide more detailed examples of how Crystal Ball and OptQuest can be used in financial risk analysis of investments in securities, derivatives, and real options.
The technical appendices provide details about the methods used by Crystal Ball in its algorithms, and a description of some methods of variance reduction that can be employed to increase the precision of your simulation estimates. All of the models described in the book are available on the accompanying CD-ROM, as is a link to a Web site from which a trial version of Crystal Ball may be downloaded.
TABLE OF CONTENT:
Chapter 01 - Introduction
Chapter 02 - Analyzing Crystal Ball Forecasts
Chapter 03 - Building a Crystal Ball Model
Chapter 04 - Selecting Crystal Ball Assumptions
Chapter 05 - Using Decision Variables
Chapter 06 - Selecting Run Preferences
Chapter 07 - Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return
Chapter 08 - Modeling Financial Statements
Chapter 09 - Portfolio Models
Chapter 10 - Value at Risk
Chapter 11 - Simulating Financial Time Series
Chapter 12 - Financial Options
Chapter 13 - Real Options
Appendix A - Crystal Ball’s Probability Distributions
Appendix B - Generating Assumption Values
Appendix C - Variance Reduction Techniques
Appendix D - About the Download
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AIR (Adobe Integrated Runtime) is Adobe’s open-source technology that lets Web developers and programmers create Rich Internet Applications that run outside of any Web browser. This Visual QuickPro Guide teaches everything you need to know to begin creating applications that combine the rich experience of a traditional desktop application with the power and reach of the Internet. The book uses a visual, step-by-step approach and covers all the fundamental AIR concepts, without the fluff, confusing segues, and technical jargon that bog down so many other computer books. Author Larry Ullman has a well-earned reputation for writing books that are accessible, easy-to-follow, and, above all, useful. This book focuses solely on developing AIR applications using HTML and JavaScript, although formal knowledge of JavaScript is not required.
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An improved script editor (with a visual interface), a revamped library interface, a new Undo feature, powerful run-time effects, breakthrough motion-graphics capabilities-these are just a few of the reasons Web designers are raving about the newest version of their favorite Web tool, Macromedia Flash 8. Whether you’re a beginning user looking for a good introduction to the topic or a veteran user seeking a convenient update reference, you’ll find what you need in this task-based guide. Using simple step-by-step instructions, straightforward language, loads of screen shots, and a plethora of readily accessible examples, author Katherine Ulrich shows you how to create engaging interactive content for the Web with Flash Basic 8 and Flash Professional 8. From basic vector graphics to animation with motion tweening and beyond, this inexpensive, easy-to-use guide promises to get you up to speed fast on the most important application in your design toolbox-Macromedia Flash 8.
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Exploit advanced T-SQL language features with in-depth architectural insights from the experts.
Get a detailed look at the internal architecture of T-SQL with this comprehensive programming reference. Database developers and administrators get best practices, expert techniques, and code samples to master the intricacies of the programming language—solving complex problems with real-world solutions.
Discover how to:
•Understand when to apply set-based programming techniques
•Design and implement date and time-related XML and CLR datatypes
•Use temporary objects, including temporary tables, table variables, and table expressions
•Work with T-SQL and CLR user-defined functions, stored procedures, and triggers
•Support user input-based queries and variable data with dynamic execution
•Work with transactions and new exception handling constructs
•Apply a concurrency model to support simultaneous users
•Use Service Broker for controlled asynchronous processing in database applications
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